Today’s Washington Post discusses Senator Barrack Obama’s strategy to win the Democratic nomination. Smartly, his campaign focussed on competing in states where they had a chance:
With Clinton’s name recognition and traditional strengths obvious in big states, such as California, New York and New Jersey, Hildebrand, Carson and Berman decided it would be more effective to deploy one volunteer to Idaho or Delaware than to send that same volunteer to Los Angeles or Yonkers, N.Y.
In other words, Obama’s campaign basically conceded many places with seemingly “big” prizes in order to score easier victories in many small state races or in caucuses. In fact, Obama ended up winning most of the Democratic caucuses and thus claiming many more delegates in caucus states than Clinton.
Recently, Hillary Clinton supporters have started claiming that Obama “stole” the nomination from her because her victories in large states turned out to be less advantageous than his victories in small ones. They claim that despite the delegate math, Clinton should be the nominee because if you count the popular vote using their counting technique, she clearly has more votes. This claim seems comical at best.
As even a casual follower of the Democratic primary rules knows, the goal of the game is to win a majority of delegates–that’s how one wins the Democratic nomination. Having the most popular vote means nothing if you don’t have the most delegates. Like it or not, those were the party rules going into the primary (and for many years prior) and those are still the party rules. Don’t like the rules? Change them for next time, but please don’t complain that it’s unfair this time around. Both candidates knew the rules and agreed to them. Claiming after the fact that another benchmark (other than the pre-agreed delegate one) should be used to determine the winner shows a complete disregard for the process and disrespects everyone who was playing by the rules.
Obama did not “steal” the Primary but rather smartly courted votes where it would matter the most. He went for and got delegates in districts that Clinton ignored. Doing so doesn’t make him a thief, but rather a smart politician who reached out to voters his opponent ignored (and who also happened to be important in determining the apportionment of delegates). To illustrate, I have several examples:
A long time ago when I was in 6th grade, my entire grade participated in a beech scavenger hunt of sorts. The goal of which was to execute tasks or collect items scattered throughout the beech as defined by a check list given to us by the teachers. The list contained about 50 bullet points and many of the early tasks involved finding certain species of marine life on a vast beech. As we got to the beech, all of the teams started crazily running around trying to find the various items that weren’t exactly in plain sight. My team, composed of mostly slackers, was weary in following suit so instead we decided rather than blindly following the list in order to first read it.
As it turned out, there were lots of tasks, such as get a cup of sand or run to the far rocks and back, at the end of the list that required little to no effort. By the end of the alloted time several hours later, we had completed about half of the tasks on the check list–avoiding any difficult ones. We ended up coming in second out at least 15 groups and were praised by the teachers as the only group to stop and assess the situation and actually accomplish the easy tasks.
By going after the low-hanging fruit we were able to expand little energy yet still do very well in the contest. You wouldn’t stay we “stole” second place, but rather we smartly ignored tasks such as find a starfish (knowing there was probably only 1 on the entire beach so looking for one would be a waste of energy) and focused our limited time and energy on tasks others were ignorant to. Similarly, Obama ignored states that offered no delegate advantage for him to compete in, but rather focused on those he can quickly and easily rack up delegates in. This astuteness is something I expect from a President of the United States: know the goal, find the best path to achieve it and carry it out (of course I’m over simplifying here as the ends don’t always justify the means).
My second example should be familiar to any student that had to take a test that they weren’t fully prepared for. There were times in college and high school when I would take a test and receive a grade better than many students who were much better prepared for the test than I was. I did so by simply reading all of the questions first and briefly answering the ones I knew before bs’ing the ones I didn’t rather than answering the questions in the order they were on the test. Meanwhile, some students more versed in the material would spend a lot of time thoroughly answering the questions in order, often running out of time to answer all of the questions. They would get all of the questions they answered correct but would get no credit for the questions they left blank whereas I would get full credit on the questions I knew and most of the time partial credit on the ones I didn’t. The end result would often be a better grade.
Was this cheating? Did I steal a better grade from them by being better situated for the curve (raw grades were often scaled/curved in my classes) or was this smart test taking? Similarly, was Obama’s campaign just being smarter by trying to win the districts with an odd number of delegates? Of course the other students may have known more about the subject, but were not very smart by not recognizing that the measuring stick wasn’t how much they knew but how well they did on the test. Similarly, Clinton may be the better candidate (and I’m not conceding that point) but thats not how a nominee is decided.
Finally, lets take two football teams. Lets say one team racked up 400 yards of offense and scored 2 touchdowns (14 pts) while the other team could barely move the ball, had only 120 yards of offense but managed to kick 5 field goals (15 pts). Should the team that had the most offensive productivity win or should the team with the most points? The answer is obvious. The goal of the game is to score points not to rack up yards and thus a worse team can win by scoring more points. After the game is over, only sore losers claim that they were the better team and that they should have won if not for their opponent stealing the game with field goals.
Same should be said in this case. Obama played the game smartly and won. Clinton lost. No matter what spin is put on this, Obama won on the scorecard and the only mutually agreed way to score the Primary: the Delegate Math.
If Clinton somehow manages to sway the super delegates to abandon Obama and put her over the top, are her supporters then going to claim they “stole” the election or claim that super delegates are part of the process and she played the process to win? Of course they’ll claim that it’s how the primary game is played (as they should) and would reject any notion that she “stole” the nomination just like they should reject the notion that by playing smart Obama somehow stole the nomination from Clinton.